Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.012479 0.015258 0.018798 0.023762 0.030754 0.040611 0.056290
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.008783 0.011652 0.015785 0.022524 0.034041 0.054839 0.101477
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.007140 0.009974 0.014400 0.022423 0.038315 0.073819 0.187161
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.006231 0.009068 0.013798 0.023186 0.044489 0.103674 0.397935
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.005486 0.008230 0.013037 0.023283 0.049336 0.138006 0.884718
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.004785 0.007323 0.011919 0.022212 0.050633 0.164298 1.819533
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.004298 0.006703 0.011198 0.021759 0.053484 0.205212 5.380889
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.004057 0.006479 0.011192 0.022991 0.062808 0.313989 161.999776
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.003912 0.006407 0.011474 0.025081 0.077749 0.565702 NaN
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.003776 0.006327 0.011719 0.027206 0.096230 1.139749 NaN
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.003533 0.006001 0.011345 0.027346 0.105583 1.868981 NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.003314 0.005696 0.010965 0.027343 0.114703 3.236030 NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002976 0.005140 0.009967 0.025213 0.109663 3.927640 NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002710 0.004713 0.009237 0.023846 0.109295 5.831077 NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002537 0.004460 0.008891 0.023735 0.119046 15.695626 NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002422 0.004318 0.008802 0.024562 0.139769 218.456393 NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002292 0.004128 0.008551 0.024667 0.155161 NaN NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.002131 0.003855 0.008038 0.023507 0.154338 NaN NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.002010 0.003658 0.007706 0.023017 0.161825 NaN NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.001957 0.003611 0.007775 0.024350 0.201274 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.001930 0.003620 0.008008 0.026617 0.275222 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.001901 0.003619 0.008212 0.028928 0.382281 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.001824 0.003496 0.008029 0.029081 0.436881 NaN NaN